Larry Fink Just Revealed the Grim Reality About the Economy
Source: YouTube · Eurodollar University · published Apr 8, 2025 · 20:31
America's economy is facing a high probability of recession, with CEOs, Wall Street economists, and markets now converging on a significant downturn risk. 0:25
Key Takeaways:
• Leading CEOs, including BlackRock’s Larry Fink, now believe the U.S. economy is in a recession, citing consumer weakness and a "parade of horribles" across sectors 2:30.
• Goldman Sachs raised its recession probability to 45% and cut 2025 Q4 GDP growth forecast to half a percent, a level historically linked to recessions 4:12.
• Consumer credit declined by $810 million in February, signaling weakening demand and lending, a key indicator of economic distress 17:00.
• Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) show long-term inflation expectations have fallen to multi-year lows, reflecting disinflationary trends and a shift away from inflation fears 9:02.
The market’s shift from viewing a recession as a remote possibility to a high-probability outcome is driving severe sell-offs, liquidations, and margin calls. 19:10
Sources:
- 0:25 CEOs and market indicators confirm rising recession risk.
- 2:30 BlackRock CEO Larry Fink reports widespread CEO belief in a current recession.
- 4:12 Goldman Sachs updates recession probability to 45% and GDP forecast to 0.5%.
- 17:00 Consumer credit decline signals weakening economic momentum.
- 9:02 TIPS market shows long-term inflation expecta
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America's CEOs think the US economy is in or very near outright recession right now. At least according to Black Rockck's own CEO Larry Frink. And the Treasury market's inflation expectations absolutely agree with those having crashed recently to new multi-year lows. Even Goldman Sachs is thrown in the towel, raising its own recession probabilities. And it's no wonder why. As the Federal Reserve reported, consumer credit appears to have cracked, furthering the distress in the consumer economy. While some markets are taking a break today from being liquidated, the recession warnings continue to roll in and pile up, and that's ultimately what will determine where things go from here. The risk off is coming from the Rword, what has been seen as a rising probability. As late as a month and a h…